Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.644852 0.832693 1.044887 1.299380 1.593367 1.919511 2.305849
2025-05-11 0.364233 0.586221 0.872303 1.254256 1.737379 2.315497 3.046701
2025-05-18 0.216768 0.442700 0.775121 1.264176 1.931210 2.777687 3.901028
2025-05-25 0.117552 0.320354 0.666222 1.227037 2.047359 3.143264 4.657293
2025-06-01 0.074284 0.267012 0.641120 1.296414 2.306006 3.704739 5.690971
2025-06-08 0.040295 0.207283 0.584367 1.301371 2.465035 4.134725 6.567541
2025-06-15 0.025920 0.183609 0.585440 1.396837 2.762240 4.768168 7.740825
2025-06-22 0.014674 0.155906 0.568185 1.454443 3.000647 5.324835 8.825235
2025-06-29 0.006975 0.127408 0.538015 1.480777 3.186490 5.808746 9.820093
2025-07-06 0.002117 0.095182 0.483854 1.449179 3.269439 6.138231 10.601627
2025-07-13 0.000555 0.076958 0.459032 1.470641 3.440494 6.604080 11.588628
2025-07-20 0.000056 0.061301 0.433557 1.484864 3.596802 7.049690 12.554648
2025-07-27 NaN 0.042489 0.384810 1.439858 3.646456 7.336344 13.306128
2025-08-03 NaN 0.027720 0.337209 1.386379 3.673974 7.586956 14.010213
2025-08-10 NaN 0.020327 0.316163 1.394386 3.817427 8.029147 15.013236
2025-08-17 NaN 0.012535 0.279993 1.353334 3.859797 8.304287 15.766595
2025-08-24 NaN 0.010809 0.284366 1.426775 4.135714 8.976965 17.144797
2025-08-31 NaN 0.007318 0.266664 1.431702 4.270783 9.414893 18.167143
2025-09-07 NaN 0.006928 0.279988 1.533345 4.611822 10.211634 19.762029
2025-09-14 NaN 0.005643 0.280483 1.594620 4.870290 10.872378 21.154187
2025-09-21 NaN 0.003996 0.271168 1.622607 5.058823 11.416554 22.371577
2025-09-28 NaN 0.002040 0.245100 1.588931 5.111339 11.724740 23.220571
2025-10-05 NaN 0.001261 0.236062 1.611772 5.287872 12.253197 24.426542